Murders plummeted more than 20% in 2025 from the year before, the single-largest one-year drop on record — and it might be the lowest murder rate in the U.S. since 1900, a study released Thursday by the Council on Criminal Justice found.
The annual crime trends report analyzed data from 40 large cities across the United States for 13 different crime types, including murder, carjacking, theft and drug offenses.
Alongside homicides, which dropped 21% from 2024, carjackings have declined 61% since 2023, while shoplifting is down 10% since 2024. In general, the overall crime rate declined, with violent crimes at or below levels seen in 2019, the analysis found — drug offenses were the only category that rose during this period, while sexual assault remained even.
Considering all the talk now going on about the Epstein files, Greenland, Jack Smith, ICE and what-have-you, with the 2026 midterms approaching, the Trump administration should be far more vocal about the case that its crime policies have helped make America safer. After all, the numbers are hard to ignore: murders fell 21% last year in 35 major U.S. cities (the largest one-year drop ever and likely the lowest rate since 1900), while 11 of 13 major crime categories declined in 2025, with robberies and gun assaults down more than 20%, according to the Council on Criminal Justice. Of course, liberals will note that violent crime was already falling late in Biden’s term, questioning how much credit Trump deserves, but politics is about clarity, not academic debates over causation. Trump campaigned as a law-and-order president, and his administration has emphasized a “whole-of-government” approach that includes supporting law enforcement, cracking down on repeat offenders, deploying the National Guard in overwhelmed cities, and deporting criminal illegal aliens. Whether these policies sparked or sustained the decline, Republicans should make a simple argument to voters: America is safer, the COVID-era crime wave is reversing, and keeping that momentum requires staying the course in 2026.
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